21/10/2005

NI population to increase by 100,000 inside 15 years

The population of Northern Ireland is expected to increase by around 100,000 over the next 15 years, according to a new government prediction published today.

According to the figures released by the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency, Northern Ireland's population will rise from 1.710 million people in 2004 to 1.819 million people by 2019.

However, over this same period, the number of children aged under 16 is projected to fall by 9.1% from 383,000 in 2004 to 348,000 in 2019 and continue to decrease gradually thereafter.

The number of people of working age as currently defined (males aged 16-64 and females aged 16-59) is projected to increase from 1,052,000 in 2004 to 1,098,000 by 2019, an increase of about 47,000 people (4.4%). The numbers in this age group will decline however from the early 2020s onwards.

The age of Northern Ireland's population will also gradually become older with the average age expected to rise from 37 years in 2004 to 40.3 years by 2019.

The number of people aged 65 and over will continue to rise after 2019, and there are projected to be twice as many people aged 65 and over in 2041 than at present.

The number of older people is projected to exceed the number of children from 2023 onwards and between 2010 and 2020 the pensionable age for females will be increased from 60 to 65.

Taking this into account, the number of people of working age population in Northern Ireland is projected to rise by 9.2% from 1,052,000 in 2004 to 1,148,000 in 2019.

(MB/SP)

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