14/08/2009
Ulster Bank 'Says Recession Over'
The worst of the house-building downturn may have passed, says one of the top local banks.
Ulster Bank's latest Quarterly Economic Review features commentary by their economist, Richard Ramsey .
He said key indicators suggest the worst of the economic gloom is behind us and that the most serious phase of the house-building crisis has passed.
The expert also suggested that the rate of job losses had eased: "We expect the Northern Ireland economy to contract by around 4% this year, following a decline of one per cent last year.
"We expect this to be broadly in line with the UK average and for Northern Ireland to fare no better than the UK as a whole over the course of the entire downturn," he said, noting that the UK economy is to return to growth next year.
"The biggest challenge is to recover the significant amount of output lost during the recession," he continued.
"Next year, we predict the local economy will grow by around one per cent, compared to around 1.4% for the UK as a whole.
"Beyond that, it is our view that Northern Ireland's sustainable growth rate will be two per cent per annum on average, which we expect to be below the UK average," he suggested.
Meanwhile, while official figures released yesterday showed unemployment in Northern Ireland had risen above 50,000, an all-Ireland survey related that the economic decline may have bottomed out.
InterTradeIreland's Director of Strategy Aidan Gough said: "The emerging picture points to a U-shaped recession - the question now is how wide the trough will be?
"Restoring competitiveness is the biggest challenge facing firms and they are currently seeking to reduce costs across the board in order to be able to take advantage of any upswing."
The survey, involving telephone interviews with 1,000 owner/managers north and south, was carried out last month by Millward Brown Ulster and covers the period April to June 2009.
The survey confirmed southern companies are continuing to suffer more than northern firms, reporting a drop in turnover of 72% compared to 44%.
The sectors worst affected are manufacturing, construction and the hospitality industry.
See: Irish Business Turnover Still Falling
(BMcC/KMcA)
Ulster Bank's latest Quarterly Economic Review features commentary by their economist, Richard Ramsey .
He said key indicators suggest the worst of the economic gloom is behind us and that the most serious phase of the house-building crisis has passed.
The expert also suggested that the rate of job losses had eased: "We expect the Northern Ireland economy to contract by around 4% this year, following a decline of one per cent last year.
"We expect this to be broadly in line with the UK average and for Northern Ireland to fare no better than the UK as a whole over the course of the entire downturn," he said, noting that the UK economy is to return to growth next year.
"The biggest challenge is to recover the significant amount of output lost during the recession," he continued.
"Next year, we predict the local economy will grow by around one per cent, compared to around 1.4% for the UK as a whole.
"Beyond that, it is our view that Northern Ireland's sustainable growth rate will be two per cent per annum on average, which we expect to be below the UK average," he suggested.
Meanwhile, while official figures released yesterday showed unemployment in Northern Ireland had risen above 50,000, an all-Ireland survey related that the economic decline may have bottomed out.
InterTradeIreland's Director of Strategy Aidan Gough said: "The emerging picture points to a U-shaped recession - the question now is how wide the trough will be?
"Restoring competitiveness is the biggest challenge facing firms and they are currently seeking to reduce costs across the board in order to be able to take advantage of any upswing."
The survey, involving telephone interviews with 1,000 owner/managers north and south, was carried out last month by Millward Brown Ulster and covers the period April to June 2009.
The survey confirmed southern companies are continuing to suffer more than northern firms, reporting a drop in turnover of 72% compared to 44%.
The sectors worst affected are manufacturing, construction and the hospitality industry.
See: Irish Business Turnover Still Falling
(BMcC/KMcA)
Related Northern Ireland Business News Stories
Click here for the latest headlines.
26 April 2017
Belfast Global Shapers Recognised By World Economic Forum
The World Economic Forum (WEF) has recognised the achievements of a group of ambitious local entrepreneurs, the Belfast Global Shapers, for the delivery of the best international session of the Shaping Davos Programme 2017 at its Annual Summit in January.
Belfast Global Shapers Recognised By World Economic Forum
The World Economic Forum (WEF) has recognised the achievements of a group of ambitious local entrepreneurs, the Belfast Global Shapers, for the delivery of the best international session of the Shaping Davos Programme 2017 at its Annual Summit in January.
03 April 2014
150 School Buses Confirmed Following £11.5m Investment
£11.5m is being in invested in providing 150 new school buses for pupils across Northern Ireland. Education Minister John O'Dowd made the announcement during a visit to Nu-Track Ltd in Antrim, which is contracted to supply 86 of the vehicles.
150 School Buses Confirmed Following £11.5m Investment
£11.5m is being in invested in providing 150 new school buses for pupils across Northern Ireland. Education Minister John O'Dowd made the announcement during a visit to Nu-Track Ltd in Antrim, which is contracted to supply 86 of the vehicles.
30 April 2013
Firms To Receive A Package Of Free Leadership And Management Programmes
Employment and Learning Minister Dr Stephen Farry today announced a package of free leadership and management programmes for local businesses. The Department for Employment and Learning will provide 100% financial support to businesses and social economy enterprises that utilise the Department’s leadership and management suite of programmes.
Firms To Receive A Package Of Free Leadership And Management Programmes
Employment and Learning Minister Dr Stephen Farry today announced a package of free leadership and management programmes for local businesses. The Department for Employment and Learning will provide 100% financial support to businesses and social economy enterprises that utilise the Department’s leadership and management suite of programmes.
05 November 2010
Construction Downturn Defies 'Recovery'
Some parts of Northern Ireland's private sector are still growing despite a weak economic recovery that is underlined by continuing problems in the building sector. That's according to Northern Bank Chief Economist Angela McGowan whose latest 'Quarterly Sectoral Forecasts' report forecasts annual growth of 1.0% overall for 2010 and 1.
Construction Downturn Defies 'Recovery'
Some parts of Northern Ireland's private sector are still growing despite a weak economic recovery that is underlined by continuing problems in the building sector. That's according to Northern Bank Chief Economist Angela McGowan whose latest 'Quarterly Sectoral Forecasts' report forecasts annual growth of 1.0% overall for 2010 and 1.
27 March 2003
Economic Development Forum steps up action
Taking specific action to address weaknesses in the Northern Ireland economy to ensure that the region is in a strong position to prosper in the face of increasing global competition is a key objective of the Economic Development Forum.
Economic Development Forum steps up action
Taking specific action to address weaknesses in the Northern Ireland economy to ensure that the region is in a strong position to prosper in the face of increasing global competition is a key objective of the Economic Development Forum.
-
Northern Ireland WeatherToday:A showery start with outbreaks most frequent north of Lough Neagh and through the morning, before dwindling during the afternoon as the northwest breezes ease and brighter spells of weak sunshine prosper. Maximum temperature 8 °C.Tonight:A dry night, save for a few light showers around the coasts, with prolonged clear spells and light winds bringing a frosty dawn for many in central and southern parts. Minimum temperature -3 °C.